Safa vs Al Hikma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
8º
8º
7
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 1
ALA
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 2
BOU
42%
28%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 0
TAD
62%
23%
16%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 3
SAF
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 1
ALG
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Al Hikma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HIK
0 - 2
ALG
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 2
HIK
32%
26%
41%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HIK
0 - 1
SAL
81%
14%
5%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 0
HIK
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HIK
0 - 2
ALN
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |