Fomento Alumni C vs Carranza B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
21.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fomento Alumni C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
RCS
0 - 2
FOA
17%
17%
65%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FOA
3 - 2
LTV
84%
10%
6%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DAG
2 - 2
FOA
34%
21%
45%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FOA
3 - 0
ALC
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
BBA
1 - 2
FOA
17%
18%
65%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Carranza B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
CAR
6 - 1
LTV
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
DAG
2 - 1
CAR
49%
20%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
6 - 0
ALC
87%
8%
5%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
BBA
0 - 3
CAR
19%
18%
63%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
4 - 0
ALG
87%
9%
5%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |