Sacramento Republic vs Reno 1868 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
SAC
2 - 1
ORA
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
POR
1 - 2
SAC
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
SAC
2 - 1
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
SAC
3 - 1
TAC
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
REN
0 - 1
SAC
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Reno 1868
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
REN
7 - 1
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
REN
2 - 1
ARI
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
SDL
1 - 3
REN
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
REN
5 - 2
POR
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
REN
0 - 1
SAC
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |