Sachsen Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
61.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
HAN
2 - 1
SAC
71%
19%
10%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
SAC
0 - 2
CHE
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
OBE
2 - 0
SAC
63%
22%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
SAC
0 - 2
TUR
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ALT
2 - 1
SAC
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
HOL
0 - 0
PLA
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
WOL
1 - 1
HOL
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
HOL
1 - 1
HER
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
HAM
0 - 2
HOL
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
HOL
1 - 2
HAL
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |