Sachsen Leipzig vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
POS
0 - 1
SAC
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SAC
0 - 0
VFL
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
AUE
1 - 2
SAC
63%
22%
15%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SAC
2 - 1
GER
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 1
SAC
20%
24%
57%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ERZ
2 - 0
ROT
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
GER
2 - 0
ERZ
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
POS
2 - 2
ERZ
42%
25%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ERZ
2 - 1
VFL
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AUE
4 - 1
ERZ
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |