Sacachispas vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
ARQ
1 - 2
SAC
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SAC
1 - 0
LAM
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SAC
2 - 3
MID
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
STM
3 - 1
SAC
20%
25%
56%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -3 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAC
2 - 1
LAF
47%
28%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
STM
2 - 0
CAD
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
CAD
1 - 2
EXC
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
CAD
1 - 0
LAF
43%
28%
30%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LUJ
1 - 1
CAD
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
CCO
0 - 0
CAD
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -3 |