Sacachispas vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
47.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
3 - 1
SAC
83%
12%
4%
|
39 | 71 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
TAL
0 - 1
SAC
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
SAC
0 - 0
CCO
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
LAF
1 - 0
SAC
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
SAC
3 - 1
JJU
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
PLA
2 - 0
DEF
47%
29%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 1
EST
32%
29%
39%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
DEF
32%
30%
38%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 1
MOR
22%
30%
48%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
TAL
0 - 1
DEF
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |