Guatemala First Division Apertura Last 16
Global 5-2
Sacachispas vs FC La Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2184%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 1
SAC
19%
21%
59%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SAC
3 - 1
SLC
33%
28%
40%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AUR
0 - 0
SAC
49%
28%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
SAC
5 - 1
CSC
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SAC
7 - 0
DBC
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
FC La Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 1
SAC
19%
21%
59%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SPD
3 - 2
FCL
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 3
QUI
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
DFC
1 - 0
FCL
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 0
NUE
19%
22%
59%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | +7 |