Copa Guatemala 1/16
Global 2-1
Sacachispas vs Deportivo Jocotán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
SAC
48%
27%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 2
SAC
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SAC
0 - 0
AUR
34%
28%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 2
SAC
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SAC
2 - 0
UNI
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Jocotán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 3
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 2
SAC
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
COM
3 - 0
DEP
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 2
SAC
54%
25%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
DEP
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |