Sacachispas vs Aurora FC analysis

Sacachispas Aurora FC
46 ELO 47
-22.1% Tilt -18.4%
24126º General ELO ranking 3916º
41º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
43.2%
Sacachispas
29.2%
Draw
27.6%
Aurora FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
Sacachispas
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
27.6%
Win probability
Aurora FC
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sacachispas
+7%
+19%
Aurora FC

Points and table prediction

Sacachispas
Their league position
Aurora FC
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
11º
11º
25
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Universidad San Carlos
32
35
40%
Juventud Pinulteca
34
34
41.5%
San Benito CF
31
34
29.5%
Iztapa
29
33
19%
Suchitepequez
28
32
44%
Deportivo Barberena
27
30
62%
Marquense
10º
24
27
25.5%
Democracia FC.
26
27
33%
Aurora FC
25
26
24.5%
Quiché
24
25
10º
27.5%
Sacachispas
11º
24
24
11º
34%
CD San Pedro
12º
22
23
12º
30.5%
Juventud Copalera
13º
22
22
13º
63%
Cotzumalguapa
14º
21
21
14º
76%
Deportivo Fraijanes
15º
18
19
15º
67%
Mictlán
16º
17
17
16º
80%
Cuilapa FC
17º
15
15
17º
87%
Heredia
19º
11
14
18º
29.5%
Nueva Concepción
18º
12
13
19º
33.5%
Sololá
20º
11
12
20º
59.5%
Expected probabilities
Sacachispas
Aurora FC
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 4.5%
Mid-table
100% 95.5%

ELO progression

Sacachispas
Aurora FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sacachispas
Sacachispas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2023
JUP
Juventud Pinulteca
5 - 0
Sacachispas
SAC
62%
22%
16%
47 53 6 0
18 Oct. 2023
HER
Heredia
0 - 0
Sacachispas
SAC
71%
19%
11%
46 59 13 +1
01 Oct. 2023
CON
Mictlán
1 - 1
Sacachispas
SAC
35%
28%
37%
47 41 6 -1
28 Sep. 2023
SAC
Sacachispas
1 - 0
Deportivo Barberena
DBC
36%
26%
38%
46 47 1 +1
24 Sep. 2023
CFC
Cuilapa FC
3 - 0
Sacachispas
SAC
9%
17%
74%
48 9 39 -2

Matches

Aurora FC
Aurora FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2023
AUR
Aurora FC
2 - 1
Mictlán
CON
53%
27%
20%
46 40 6 0
18 Oct. 2023
JUP
Juventud Pinulteca
1 - 0
Aurora FC
AUR
65%
21%
14%
47 52 5 -1
01 Oct. 2023
DBC
Deportivo Barberena
3 - 0
Aurora FC
AUR
50%
26%
24%
48 46 2 -1
27 Sep. 2023
AUR
Aurora FC
2 - 0
Cuilapa FC
CFC
69%
21%
11%
48 22 26 0
24 Sep. 2023
SAN
San Benito CF
1 - 0
Aurora FC
AUR
55%
25%
20%
49 50 1 -1