Sacachispas vs Amatitlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAC
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SAC
2 - 0
ANT
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAC
2 - 1
TEC
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SAY
1 - 3
SAC
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAC
2 - 1
COB
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Amatitlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 0
SAY
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
AMA
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 1
COB
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ACH
0 - 1
AMA
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
AMA
2 - 1
UNI
20%
25%
55%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | +2 |