Sablé vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
18%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
4º
28
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 79.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LRO
3 - 2
SAB
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAB
3 - 1
CHA
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LEM
1 - 4
SAB
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SAB
3 - 1
52%
21%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ACP
0 - 3
SAB
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SPG
3 - 2
ESO
12%
17%
72%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SCB
0 - 1
SPG
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 1
CHA
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
USS
4 - 1
SPG
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SPG
0 - 2
FON
27%
22%
50%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |