Sablé vs Montagnarde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LOC
1 - 1
SAB
45%
24%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SAB
1 - 0
BOU
55%
22%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
POI
2 - 1
SAB
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SAB
1 - 0
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
TOU
1 - 0
SAB
58%
21%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Montagnarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
FLE
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
MON
3 - 0
QUC
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
GUI
0 - 2
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MON
3 - 1
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MON
3 - 0
LAV
49%
25%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |