Sablé vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SAI
1 - 0
SAB
47%
25%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SAB
3 - 2
MON
55%
23%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LOC
1 - 1
SAB
45%
24%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SAB
1 - 0
BOU
55%
22%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
POI
2 - 1
SAB
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GUI
3 - 3
FLE
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 0
GUI
31%
26%
44%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 1
VAN
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
GUI
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
GUI
0 - 2
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |