Sablé vs Cognac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
BON
2 - 3
SAB
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SAB
3 - 1
CHO
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +4 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SAB
1 - 2
ASC
61%
21%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
VIE
2 - 0
SAB
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BOU
0 - 0
SAB
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
COG
1 - 2
BOU
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
POI
2 - 1
COG
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
COG
3 - 2
CHA
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
TOU
3 - 2
COG
70%
17%
12%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
COG
1 - 2
SAU
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |