Sablé vs Challans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
14º
14º
33
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FON
0 - 0
SAB
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SAB
1 - 2
SPG
43%
24%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ESO
1 - 1
SAB
53%
21%
27%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SAB
0 - 1
LAT
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
ANG
0 - 1
SAB
48%
23%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 1
LAV
40%
26%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
VIT
0 - 0
CHA
59%
23%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 2
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
PAN
1 - 0
CHA
32%
23%
45%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 1
NAN
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |