Saad EC vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
50.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saad EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 0
SAA
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SAA
0 - 4
MIS
47%
23%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
AQU
3 - 0
SAA
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
OPE
0 - 4
SAA
40%
24%
37%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SAA
1 - 1
CHA
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
AQU
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
CHA
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
COM
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
CHA
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SAA
1 - 1
CHA
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |