SA Mérignac vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SA Mérignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NIM
0 - 1
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 2
MON
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
SAM
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SAM
4 - 1
TOF
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SAG
0 - 0
SAM
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BLA
2 - 1
AUR
32%
27%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
2 - 0
BLA
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NIM
3 - 0
BLA
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
BLA
1 - 3
LCF
56%
23%
22%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -3 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
USR
1 - 1
BLA
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |