SA Mérignac U19 vs Tours U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
12º
11º
16
9º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation
|
50% | 50.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
LOR
2 - 0
SAM
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 2
STA
24%
23%
53%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 3
ANG
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
AVR
2 - 0
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 1
GUI
20%
23%
58%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Tours U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TOU
0 - 5
ANG
17%
22%
61%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SCB
3 - 0
TOU
46%
21%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TOU
1 - 2
AVR
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
TOU
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 2
GUI
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |