SA Mérignac U19 vs Nantes U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
12º
11º
58
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
50% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
LOR
24%
21%
56%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
STA
2 - 0
SAM
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 0
SAM
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
AVR
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
GUI
6 - 1
SAM
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nantes U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 0
STA
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NAN
3 - 0
ANG
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 2
NAN
14%
21%
65%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NAN
3 - 1
GUI
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BER
1 - 3
NAN
11%
16%
73%
|
46 | 12 | 34 | 0 |