SA Mérignac U19 vs Lorient U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
55.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
12º
11º
40
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
50% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
STA
2 - 0
SAM
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 0
SAM
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
AVR
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
GUI
6 - 1
SAM
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
BER
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 0
TOU
72%
16%
13%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 2
STA
55%
21%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 2
ANG
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 1
LOR
32%
22%
46%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 1
GUI
57%
20%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |