SA Mérignac U19 vs Lorient U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
50.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
10º
56
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 0
SAM
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
NAN
12%
16%
72%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | +6 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
SAM
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 2
REN
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GUI
3 - 0
SAM
41%
22%
37%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
LAV
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VER
2 - 3
LOR
20%
20%
61%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 2
AVR
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 4
LOR
29%
21%
50%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LOR
5 - 0
BOR
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |