SA Mérignac U19 vs Lorient U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
12º
11º
30
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
8 - 0
LAV
22%
20%
58%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VER
3 - 5
SAM
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
ANG
12%
18%
70%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 0
LMA
28%
21%
51%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 0
SAM
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 2
NIO
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LAV
1 - 3
LOR
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 1
LVF
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VER
0 - 6
LOR
24%
21%
54%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LOR
0 - 3
REN
19%
19%
62%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |