SA Mérignac U19 vs Guingamp U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
12º
11º
43
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 49.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation
|
50% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
BER
1 - 1
SAM
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 1
LAV
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SRS
0 - 2
SAM
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 2
REN
20%
21%
60%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
SCB
7 - 1
SAM
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Guingamp U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
GUI
4 - 4
LOR
43%
22%
36%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
STA
0 - 1
GUI
48%
24%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ANG
2 - 1
GUI
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 0
AVR
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 2
GUI
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |