Sūduva vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
39.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
5º
3º
25
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 58 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 52 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 46 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 42 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 34 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
6% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
68.5% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
25.5% | 94% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
SUD
0 - 0
KZA
30%
29%
41%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SUD
4 - 1
TRA
38%
30%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
FKT
1 - 3
SUD
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
DTE
1 - 1
SUD
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
DAI
0 - 3
SUD
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
ZAL
0 - 0
FAS
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
DTE
1 - 1
ZAL
31%
27%
43%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 1
DAI
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 4
KZA
47%
24%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
KZA
3 - 0
ZAL
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |