Sūduva vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
57.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
10º
9º
79
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 1
KZA
18%
26%
57%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 1
HLI
18%
25%
57%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 0
SUD
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 0
FAS
23%
27%
50%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 2
SUD
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 1
DTE
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 0
FKT
63%
23%
15%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
ZAL
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
PAF
3 - 0
ZAL
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 1
PAF
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |