Salgueiros 08 vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiros 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAL
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 1
ALB
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 3
SAL
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 2
GDP
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 1
PEN
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
PEN
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 3
GRI
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
AVA
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |