Salgueiros 08 vs Moimenta da Beira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiros 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 2
ESP
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
PED
1 - 2
SAL
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 1
CIN
45%
26%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
COI
1 - 0
SAL
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 2
GON
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Moimenta da Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
GON
1 - 0
MOI
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MOI
2 - 2
ESP
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LUS
0 - 1
MOI
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MOI
0 - 4
PED
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 1
MOI
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |