Rot-Weiss Essen U19 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
59.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
5º
8º
8º
32
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 16 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 14 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 12 |
6º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MEP
1 - 0
ESS
50%
21%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ESS
0 - 1
BOR
6%
12%
82%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ESS
1 - 1
DUI
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MER
1 - 2
ESS
22%
20%
58%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ESS
1 - 4
SCH
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
5 - 0
PRE
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 1
FOR
66%
19%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 6
BOR
10%
15%
75%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
SCH
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MEP
0 - 2
FOR
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |