Vitesse '22 vs Assendelft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
82.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
12%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+267%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
9º
5º
21
10º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse '22
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LSV
1 - 1
RKS
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Assendelft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ASS
0 - 1
IVV
91%
7%
2%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
ASS
9 - 0
SDZ
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
UIT
1 - 1
ASS
56%
21%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ASS
1 - 1
LSV
32%
22%
46%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FWO
5 - 0
ASS
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |