Vitesse '22 vs Fortuna Wormerveer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
78.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.6%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+267%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
9º
5º
34
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse '22
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AGB
1 - 3
RKS
91%
7%
2%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SVH
3 - 3
RKS
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RKS
0 - 2
SVH
38%
22%
40%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HIL
3 - 3
RKS
90%
7%
3%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RKS
4 - 1
ASS
6%
12%
82%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FWO
0 - 0
ASS
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
IVV
0 - 1
FWO
7%
12%
81%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FWO
3 - 2
LSV
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AGB
6 - 0
FWO
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FWO
0 - 0
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |