Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 5-3
Ruzomberok vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ruzomberok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
RUZ
2 - 2
ZLI
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
LIP
3 - 1
RUZ
21%
22%
58%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 1
RUZ
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 2
RUZ
41%
24%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
EGN
2 - 2
RUZ
22%
23%
55%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 4
TOB
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ATY
0 - 0
TOB
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
ATY
4 - 0
TOB
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
KAI
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 2
KAI
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |