Ruthin Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.1%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
83.1%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ruthin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
RTW
1 - 2
GUI
29%
24%
46%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AIR
2 - 0
RTW
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RTW
3 - 2
AAA
77%
13%
10%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
RTW
4 - 0
CPD
87%
9%
4%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAE
5 - 1
RTW
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TNS
2 - 2
EAS
93%
6%
2%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 4
TNS
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
4 - 0
PON
81%
13%
7%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 3
TNS
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 5
TNS
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |