Rusthall vs Bearsted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
70%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rusthall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
RUS
2 - 4
COR
13%
20%
68%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RUS
4 - 4
LTF
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
RUS
0 - 2
ERI
8%
15%
77%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
WHI
3 - 1
RUS
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FAV
0 - 1
RUS
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Bearsted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
BEA
2 - 0
SUA
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BEA
1 - 0
LOR
57%
21%
21%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BEA
4 - 0
STF
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
STF
0 - 2
BEA
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BEA
0 - 0
VCD
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |