Rustad vs Sparta Sarpsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
66.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rustad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
OPP
5 - 1
RID
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
RID
2 - 4
NES
62%
20%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Sarpsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 1
RIL
85%
10%
4%
|
58 | 20 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
SPA
0 - 3
S08
28%
21%
51%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SJE
3 - 0
SPA
21%
24%
55%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
SPA
5 - 1
ODD
24%
25%
52%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
HON
1 - 0
SPA
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |