Rusia U21 vs Suecia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rusia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RUS
3 - 1
KGZ
90%
8%
2%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
RUS
0 - 2
RSA
92%
6%
2%
|
70 | 22 | 48 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
KGZ
2 - 1
RUS
6%
13%
81%
|
70 | 33 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
RUS
2 - 2
MDA
82%
13%
6%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
RUS
1 - 0
LVA
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Suecia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
SRB
0 - 1
SWE
43%
25%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
AUT
2 - 2
SWE
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
CYP
1 - 1
SWE
14%
21%
65%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
SWE
4 - 1
FRA
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 0
SWE
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |