Russia U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
RUS
3 - 0
MDA
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
RUS
1 - 0
EST
86%
11%
4%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
SVN
0 - 1
RUS
22%
23%
54%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
RUS
0 - 2
DEN
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
BGR
3 - 3
RUS
19%
23%
59%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 2
LVA
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
MDA
3 - 0
LTU
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
ENG
5 - 0
LTU
88%
10%
2%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
2 - 0
LTU
69%
19%
11%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
LTU
0 - 1
FIN
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |