Rushden & Diamonds vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rushden & Diamonds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
RUS
4 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
WOR
2 - 1
RUS
29%
26%
46%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
RUS
2 - 1
KID
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
RUS
1 - 0
BIL
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
RUS
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
WRE
1 - 0
AFC
23%
26%
51%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
ALT
1 - 0
WRE
47%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
WRE
0 - 0
ALT
43%
27%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
YOR
2 - 1
WRE
57%
25%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
WRE
1 - 0
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |