Rupensia Lusitanos vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.5%
8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
88.8%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.7%
0-4
10.6%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0%
-4
15.1%
0-5
7.1%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
9.5%
0-6
3.9%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.1%
-6
5%
0-7
1.9%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2.3%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.9%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rupensia Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
RLL
0 - 4
JEU
6%
10%
84%
|
16 | 55 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
RLL
1 - 0
FCA
9%
14%
77%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | +7 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
RLL
2 - 5
BWI
11%
15%
74%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
RLL
2 - 2
COL
9%
14%
77%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
COL
3 - 1
RLL
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
JEU
0 - 0
DIF
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
DIF
3 - 2
F91
29%
23%
48%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
DIF
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
DIF
3 - 0
LXC
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FCR
1 - 4
DIF
14%
21%
64%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |