Rupe Sahagun vs Chamartin Vergara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
31%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+234%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rupe Sahagun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SHC
2 - 6
RUP
29%
21%
50%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RUP
2 - 1
COL
50%
20%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FUN
1 - 2
RUP
32%
21%
47%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RUP
0 - 1
VDB
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
5 - 5
RUP
25%
20%
55%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chamartin Vergara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
TRN
45%
20%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
EPA
4 - 3
CHA
36%
21%
43%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 3
BPI
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CLU
1 - 7
CHA
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
CFR
34%
22%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |