Rupe Sahagun vs Chamartin Vergara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
10.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+170%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rupe Sahagun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
TRN
1 - 3
RUP
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
RUP
3 - 1
OSA
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ADE
1 - 0
RUP
7%
13%
80%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CDO
1 - 3
RUP
9%
14%
77%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
RUP
4 - 1
CAO
91%
6%
2%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chamartin Vergara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
6 - 2
CAO
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
VDB
2 - 2
CHA
31%
21%
49%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 3
SMA
40%
23%
37%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CRG
1 - 3
CHA
43%
23%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 3
AMS
35%
23%
42%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |