Runcorn Linnets vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
ALT
3 - 3
RUN
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
RUN
1 - 2
HIN
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
VAU
1 - 2
RUN
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
RUN
0 - 1
WOR
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 1
RUN
58%
21%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2005 |
RFC
2 - 0
GAI
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
GAI
2 - 2
STA
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 0
GAI
33%
24%
43%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2005 |
WOR
1 - 2
GAI
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
GAI
2 - 1
RED
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |