FA Cup 1/1024
Global 2-4
Runcorn Linnets vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
50.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
RUN
0 - 0
WIT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
RUN
3 - 2
CHA
29%
22%
49%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
RUN
52%
21%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
RUN
4 - 2
WIT
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KID
3 - 0
RUN
33%
27%
41%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CUR
0 - 1
CHO
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 1
CHO
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 1
BIS
37%
28%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SOU
0 - 2
CHO
18%
24%
58%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CHO
3 - 1
KIN
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |