FA Cup Previa 3
Global 5-4
Runcorn Linnets vs Charnock Richard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
48.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
RUN
52%
21%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
RUN
4 - 2
WIT
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KID
3 - 0
RUN
33%
27%
41%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
RUN
1 - 1
NEW
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
RUN
3 - 2
STA
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Charnock Richard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
RUN
52%
21%
27%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
BCF
20%
24%
57%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | +3 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
CHA
9%
14%
77%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
BCF
6%
11%
83%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 2
CHA
25%
20%
55%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +3 |