Rugenbergen vs Union Tornesch analysis

Rugenbergen Union Tornesch
21 ELO 20
10% Tilt 5%
23414º General ELO ranking 10207º
770º Country ELO ranking 495º
ELO win probability
63.7%
Rugenbergen
18.5%
Draw
17.8%
Union Tornesch

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
Rugenbergen
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17.8%
Win probability
Union Tornesch
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Rugenbergen
Their league position
Union Tornesch
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
13º
18º
15º
40
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
TSV Sasel
79
82
100%
Dassendorf
74
77
100%
Eimsbütteler TV
70
73
99%
Niendorfer TSV
67
70
65%
Altona 93
68
69
66%
Paloma Hamburg
63
63
100%
Süderelbe
54
57
59.5%
Wandsbeker Concordia
54
54
59.5%
HEBC Hamburg
10º
47
50
78%
Victoria Hamburg
48
48
10º
78%
TuRa Harksheide
11º
43
46
11º
90%
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
12º
41
41
12º
84.5%
Union Tornesch
13º
40
40
13º
92.5%
TSV Buchholz 08
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Rugenbergen
15º
35
35
15º
78.5%
Hamm United FC
16º
33
33
16º
68.5%
 Hamburger SV III
17º
31
31
17º
90%
Curslack-Neuengamme
19º
23
24
18º
54.5%
Tus Osdorf
18º
23
23
19º
54.5%
Expected probabilities
Rugenbergen
Union Tornesch
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
78.5% 0%
Relegation
21.5% 0%

ELO progression

Rugenbergen
Union Tornesch
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rugenbergen
Rugenbergen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2022
VHG
Victoria Hamburg
5 - 2
Rugenbergen
RUG
81%
12%
7%
23 35 12 0
11 Sep. 2022
RUG
Rugenbergen
0 - 3
Wandsbeker Concordia
WAN
31%
22%
47%
24 30 6 -1
02 Sep. 2022
EIM
Eimsbütteler TV
5 - 0
Rugenbergen
RUG
86%
10%
5%
25 46 21 -1
23 Aug. 2022
DAS
Dassendorf
4 - 1
Rugenbergen
RUG
84%
11%
5%
25 46 21 0
21 Aug. 2022
RUG
Rugenbergen
4 - 1
TSV Buchholz 08
BUC
69%
17%
14%
25 19 6 0

Matches

Union Tornesch
Union Tornesch
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2022
UTO
Union Tornesch
1 - 6
TSV Sasel
SAS
12%
17%
71%
20 38 18 0
09 Sep. 2022
VHG
Victoria Hamburg
1 - 0
Union Tornesch
UTO
85%
10%
5%
20 35 15 0
04 Sep. 2022
UTO
Union Tornesch
0 - 3
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
WIL
38%
21%
41%
21 25 4 -1
26 Aug. 2022
WAN
Wandsbeker Concordia
5 - 1
Union Tornesch
UTO
66%
18%
16%
22 29 7 -1
23 Aug. 2022
UTO
Union Tornesch
0 - 0
Hamm United FC
HAM
52%
22%
27%
22 22 0 0