Rudar Velenje vs Triglav Kranj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
14º
13º
35
9º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rudar Velenje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NKP
2 - 2
RUD
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
RUD
0 - 3
NKN
30%
24%
46%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
NKP
0 - 4
RUD
17%
18%
65%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
BIL
4 - 3
RUD
43%
26%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RUD
2 - 0
BRI
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
NKS
0 - 6
TRI
15%
19%
66%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
NKN
2 - 0
TRI
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 2
BRI
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ALU
0 - 1
TRI
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 1
ROG
43%
24%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |