Rud La Carlota vs Atco. Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rud La Carlota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
RUD
29%
23%
48%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
RUD
0 - 0
CAS
64%
22%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
RUD
61%
21%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
RUD
1 - 0
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ANT
1 - 1
RUD
65%
21%
15%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 0
ATC
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ATC
4 - 1
EST
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LAV
3 - 3
ATC
32%
23%
44%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ATC
1 - 0
ROC
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
OSU
2 - 3
ATC
14%
20%
67%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | +1 |