Rubio Ñu vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
RÑU
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
RÑU
1 - 0
OLI
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
12O
1 - 4
RÑU
35%
27%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
RÑU
1 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 0
RÑU
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
LQE
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |