Rubio Ñu vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
RÑU
2 - 1
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
CCP
2 - 2
RÑU
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
RÑU
1 - 0
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
AME
1 - 0
RÑU
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 4
RÑU
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 2
CCP
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
AME
2 - 1
NAC
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
RÑU
1 - 0
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 2
GUA
53%
24%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 3
NAC
22%
24%
54%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |