Rubio Ñu vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
RÑU
1 - 1
IND
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
RÑU
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
RÑU
1 - 0
LQE
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
RÑU
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
RÑU
0 - 2
CCP
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
IND
66%
22%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
AUR
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 0
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
CCP
48%
27%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAN
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |